Arbitrage Research Tool iconArbitrage Research Tool
v1.0 — 5 platforms, real-time

Find risk-free trades across prediction markets. In your terminal.

Arbitrage Research Tool scans Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Manifold and Metaculus simultaneously — and surfaces potential arbitrage opportunities in real time.

Not financial advice · For research use only
$ brew install mirekondro/arb-tool/arb-tool
arb-tool — zsh
Arbitrage Research Tool terminal UI showing live arbitrage opportunities across Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold and PredictIt
// how it works

From market noise to guaranteed profit, in three passes.

🔍
01

Scan

Fetches hundreds of open markets from all 5 platforms every 60 seconds.

02

Match

Fuzzy-matches market titles across platforms using NLP similarity scoring.

💰
03

Surface

Shows only pairs where YES + NO < $1, sorted by apparent arbitrage opportunity %.

// features

Built for traders who live in the terminal.

13-column live table

Tier, profit %, convergence Δ, liquidity, time to close, first-seen age.

Category filter

⚽ Sports · 🏛 Politics · 🌍 World · 💰 Crypto · 📈 Finance · 🔬 Science.

Bet-sizing calculator

Select a row → instantly see exact dollar amounts for $100 / $1K / $10K stakes.

Watchlist

Press w to bookmark any opportunity. 📌 badge persists across restarts.

Copy trade

Press c to copy a structured trade memo to your clipboard.

Real$ filter

One toggle hides play-money noise — only Polymarket / Kalshi / PredictIt arb.

// platforms

Five markets, one feed.

PolymarketReal money
KalshiReal money
PredictItReal money
ManifoldPlay money
MetaculusForecasting
// install

One command. Three ways.

# Homebrew
$ brew install mirekondro/arb-tool/arb-tool

Recommended for macOS / Linux

# pipx (Python users)
$ pipx install arb-tool

Isolated, app-style install

# pip
$ pip install arb-tool

Add to an existing project

↳ Python 3.10+ required

// key bindings

Keyboard-first, mouse-optional.

arb-tool — keymap
r / Ctrl+RRefresh all platforms
↑ ↓Navigate rows
oOpen market URLs in browser
cCopy trade to clipboard
wToggle watchlist
nSearch news for this topic
xExport to CSV
sCycle sort mode
?Show help
qQuit

Not financial advice. This tool is for research and educational purposes only. Nothing displayed constitutes investment advice. Apparent arbitrage opportunities may disappear before execution due to slippage, fees, or market movement. All trading decisions are made at your own risk.

Play-money platforms (Manifold, Metaculus) use virtual currencies with no real-world value — those opportunities are research signals only. Polymarket is not available to US residents. Always check each platform's terms of service before trading.